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WEEK 1 ASSET · THU vs vs LV

Nico Collins

$NICO

WR · HOU · 1 share = 10% of total scrimmage yards (1 credit per yard).

House Line ?The Compound's official projection line based on recent workload & matchups. 76.5 yds 10% Share = 7.66 credits
HISTORICAL BEAT RATE ?Beat Rate: % of past 12 games where actual scrimmage yards beat the projected house line.
33.3%
vs House line over 12 games
RECENT FORM / TREND ?Trend: % spread between the player's recent 3-game average vs their full 12-week baseline. Positive % indicates rising workload and hot form.
-0.1%
L3 avg vs 12-wk base
PRODUCTION MULTIPLIER ?Multiplier: Ratio of player's historical average output to this week's line. Multipliers > 1.00× indicate the player historically beats their current line.
1.02x
Avg output vs house line
VOLATILITY RANGE ?Volatility Decoder: 12-game historical floor and ceiling. Narrow spreads imply low variance; wide spreads indicate explosive boom-or-bust risk.
62y — 96y
12-game floor to ceiling
TOUCH VOLUME ?Workload Decoder: Average carries + targets per game. Workload volume is the single strongest leading indicator of sustained yardage output and dividend payout.
6.9
Carries + targets per game

Performance Chart & Technicals ?Switch between Candlesticks (High/Low wicks vs Line Open/Close), Moving Average Trendlines, and Touch Volume.

12-Game historical progression vs benchmark
Beat Benchmark Line Missed Line | Wicks = High Ceiling / Low Floor
160y 120y 80y 40y 0y W1 vs PHI: 62.0 yds (Line: 66.6) 62 W1 PHI W2 vs KC: 85.0 yds (Line: 84.5) 85 W2 KC W3 vs BAL: 82.5 yds (Line: 90.1) 82 W3 BAL W4 vs DET: 81.6 yds (Line: 88.0) 82 W4 DET W5 vs SF: 63.5 yds (Line: 58.0) 64 W5 SF W6 vs BUF: 84.9 yds (Line: 89.7) 85 W6 BUF W7 vs GB: 72.5 yds (Line: 77.2) 72 W7 GB W8 vs LAR: 82.7 yds (Line: 83.9) 83 W8 LAR W9 vs MIA: 70.3 yds (Line: 71.7) 70 W9 MIA W10 vs TB: 96.4 yds (Line: 97.7) 96 W10 TB W11 vs NO: 80.5 yds (Line: 78.9) 80 W11 NO W12 vs CAR: 75.1 yds (Line: 70.2) 75 W12 CAR
L10 Rolling: 73.0 yds Weighted 20% by house
L5 Rolling: 76.5 yds Weighted 30% by house
L3 Rolling: 78.0 yds Weighted 50% by house

Order Ticket ($NICO) ?Submit a batch auction limit order. Max 2.5 shares (25% position cap) per player.

AUCTION CLOSED / LOCKED

This game has kicked off. Bidding and resale are closed.

12-Game Detailed Game Logs ?Full game-by-game statistics and spread vs the official House Benchmark line.

Week Opponent Touches Rush Yds Rec Yds Scrimmage Yds House Line Outcome vs Line
W12 vs CAR 5 (0r / 5rec) 7.9 67.2 75.1 yds 70.2 yds +4.9 BEAT
W11 vs NO 6 (1r / 5rec) 3.0 77.5 80.5 yds 78.9 yds +1.6 BEAT
W10 vs TB 6 (0r / 6rec) 7.2 89.2 96.4 yds 97.7 yds -1.3 MISS
W9 vs MIA 5 (0r / 5rec) 8.7 61.6 70.3 yds 71.7 yds -1.4 MISS
W8 vs LAR 9 (2r / 7rec) 1.4 81.3 82.7 yds 83.9 yds -1.2 MISS
W7 vs GB 6 (0r / 6rec) 5.6 66.9 72.5 yds 77.2 yds -4.7 MISS
W6 vs BUF 9 (1r / 8rec) 8.2 76.7 84.9 yds 89.7 yds -4.8 MISS
W5 vs SF 4 (0r / 4rec) 0.6 62.9 63.5 yds 58.0 yds +5.5 BEAT
W4 vs DET 8 (1r / 7rec) 10.6 71.0 81.6 yds 88.0 yds -6.4 MISS
W3 vs BAL 8 (1r / 7rec) 2.0 80.5 82.5 yds 90.1 yds -7.6 MISS
W2 vs KC 10 (2r / 8rec) 2.1 82.9 85.0 yds 84.5 yds +0.5 BEAT
W1 vs PHI 7 (2r / 5rec) 9.0 53.0 62.0 yds 66.6 yds -4.6 MISS